


1st Behavioral Macroeconomics
Workshop
New Approaches to Macro-Financial Instability and Inequality
June 15th-16th, 2018
Program (CEST Time)
Day 1: Friday June 15, 2018
Session A1 – Inequality and Macroeconomic Activity (Chair: Christian Proaño, Universität Bamberg)
09:00 – 09:35 | Persistent wage inequality as another worker discipline device Jaylson Jair da Silveira, Gilberto Tadeu Lima (University of São Paulo) |
09:35 – 10:10 | Inequality and finance in a rent economy Alberto Botta, Eugenio Caverzasi, Alberto Russo (Università Politecnica delle Marche), Mauro Gallegati, Joseph Stiglitz |
10:10 – 10:45 | Understanding inequality as a business cycle phenomenon: Evidence from U.S. survey data Martin Geiger, Eric Mayer (Julius-Maximilians-Universität Würzburg), Johann Scharler |
Session A2 – Agent-Based Models (Chair: Sven Schreiber, Freie Universität Berlin & IMK Düsseldorf)
09:00 – 09:35 | Modeling procedural rationality, power relations, and stock-flow consistency: A general constrained dynamics approach Erhard Glötzl, Oliver Richters (Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg) |
09:35 – 10:10 | Monetary policy and prudential regulation in a hybrid AB-SFC model with heterogeneous expectations Severin Reissl (Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore & Universität Bielefeld) |
10:10 – 10:45 | ABM: Macro and micro prudential policies: Sweet and lowdown in a credit network agent-based model Federico Giri, Mauro Gallegati, Ermanno Catullo (Università Politecnica delle Marche) |
Session B1 – Financial Instability and Income Distribution (Chair: Mishael Milakovic, University of Bamberg)
11:00 – 11:35 | Decomposing financial (in)stability in emerging economies Etienne Lepers, Antonio Sánchez Serrano (European System Risk Board) |
11:35 – 12:10 | Intersectoral systemic risk: Evidence from Morocco Firano Zakaria (University Mohammed 5 Rabat), Filali Fatine |
12:10 – 12:45 | The redistributive impacts of ECB’s unconventional monetary policies: Evidence from Italian households surveys Mehdi El Herradi (University of Lille & Bordeaux University) |
Session B2 – Expectations and Learning in Macroeconomics (Chair: Tomasz Makarewicz, University of Bamberg)
11:00 – 11:35 | Endogenously (Non-)Ricardian Beliefs William Branch, Emanuel Gasteiger (Freie Universität Berlin) |
11:35 – 12:10 | Endogenous participation, risk, and learning in the stock market Michael Shin (University of California, Irvine) |
12:10 – 12:45 | Monetary and fiscal policy in expectation driven liquidity traps Joep Lustenhouwer (Universität Bamberg) |
Session C1 – Bounded Rationality and Financial Markets (Chair: Frank Westerhoff, Universität Bamberg)
14:15 – 14:50 | Ambiguous leverage cycles Marzio Bassanin (LUISS Guido Carli & European Central Bank), Ester Faia, Valeria Patella |
14:50 – 15:25 | The consumption response to capital gains: Evidence from mutual fund liquidations Steffen Meyer (Leibniz Universität Hannover), Michaela Pagel, Alessandro Previtero |
15:25 – 16:00 | On the evolutionary fitness of rationality Gregor Boehl (Goethe Universität Frankfurt) |
16:00 – 16:35 | Different compositions of animal spirits and their impact on macroeconomic stability Reiner Franke (Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel), Frank Westerhoff |
Session C2 – Behavioral Macroeconomics (Chair: Emanuel Gasteiger, TU Wien)
15:15 – 14:50 | A business cycle model with neuroeconomic foundations Baptiste Massenot (Goethe Universität Frankfurt and SAFE) |
15:50 – 15:25 | Estimating behavioral learning equilibria in DSGE models Cars Hommes, Kostas Mavromatis, Tolga Ozden (Universiteit van Amsterdam) |
15:25 – 16:00 | Price level versus inflation targeting under heterogenous expectations: A laboratory experiment Cars Hommes, Tomasz Makarewicz (Universität Bamberg) |
16:00 – 16:35 | Reshaping inflation expectations at the zero lower bound Jasmina Arifovic, Alex Grimaud (Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuoro and Universiteit van Amsterdam), Isabelle Salle, Gauthier Vermandel |
17:00 – 18:30 | Keynote Lecture by Thomas Lux: “The Dynamics of the Interbank Market: Statistical Stylized Facts and Agent-Based Models” |
Day 2: Saturday June 16, 2018
Session D1 – Macroeconomic Experiments (Isabelle Salle, Bank of Canada)
09:00 – 09:35 | Buffer stock saving: Experimental evidence Sebastian Gechert, Jan Siebert (Universität Duisburg-Essen) |
09:35 – 10:10 | Why labor supply is a substitute for saving and whether this explains precautionary behaviour Andreas Orland (Universität Potsdam), Davud Rostam-Afschar |
10:10 – 10:45 | Cold turkey vs gradualism- inflation inertia and level-k thinking in a laboratory experiment Marcus Giamattei (Universität Passau) |
Session D2 – Macroprudential Policies (Chair: Christian R. Proaño, Universität Bamberg)
09:00 – 09:35 | Credit booms, macroprudential policy and financial crises Peter Karlström (University of Bologna) |
09:35 – 10:10 | LTV vs DTI constraints: When did they bind, and how do they interact? Marcus Mølbak Ingholt (University of Copenhagen) |
10:10 – 10:45 | Learning about banks’ net worth and the slow recovery after the Financial Crisis Josef Hollmayr (Deutsche Bundesbank), Michael Kühl |
Session E1: Expectations Formation and Networks (Chair: Joep Lustenhouwer, Universität Bamberg)
11:00 – 11:35 | Heads we both win, tails you lose: The effect of limited liability on financial investment beliefs Steffen Ahrens (Technische Universität Berlin), Ciril Bosch-Rosa |
11:35 – 12:10 | Asset pricing dynamics under expectations diffusion: The effect of social influence, homophily and stubborn agents Alessandro Basurto (Universität Bielefeld & University of Amsterdam), Herbert Dawid |
12:10 – 12:45 | Expectations and uncertainty: A common-source infection model for selected European countries Luca Gerotto (Ca’ Foscari University of Venice), Antonio Paradiso |
Session E2: Housing and Stock Market (Chair: Frank Westerhoff, Universität Bamberg)
11:00 – 11:35 | Regional house price and mortgage default cycles, phase-synchronisation and the destabilisation of US housing and finance Bazil Sansom (University of Kingston, London) |
11:35 – 12:10 | Homeownership, politics and housing bubbles Tommaso Oliviero, Marco Pagano, Marco M. Sorge (University of Salerno, Universität Göttingen & CSEF) |
12:10 – 12:45 | Exchange-traded funds, investment strategies, and financial stability Michael Heinrich Baumann (Universität Bayreuth), Michaela Baumann, Bernhard Herz |
13:45 – 15:15 | Keynote Lecture by William Branch: “Restricted Perceptions” |
Time allocation: 25 minutes for paper presentations, 5 minutes for discussants, 10 minutes for general discussion.
Scientific Committee
Emanuel Gasteiger
Mishael Milakovic
Frank Westerhoff
Cars Hommes
Christian R. Proaño
Joep Lustenhouwer
Sven Schreiber
